The box office undoubtedly belonged to sequels fans waited far too long for in 2022. As it stands now, Top Gun: Maverick, which originally released in May, sits the global box office throne having taken in $1,488,732,821 in total. However, the Tom Cruise-led sequel’s reign may be just about over.
After taking in $64M and remaining the #1 film in the U.S. over the Christmas weekend, Avatar: The Way of Water now has a global box office total of $855.4M and, according to Fandango’s Erik Davis, will cross the $1B mark on Wednesday. When it does, it will move into the top 3 totals of 2022 and put Maverick firmly on its sights.
BOX OFFICE: #AvatarTheWayOfWater continues to climb. It will pass $900M globally today & likely reach $1B by Wednesday. Currently the 5th highest grossing film of 2022 (worldwide). It’ll be #2 by the end of the week, behind only #TopGunMaverick ($1.4B). pic.twitter.com/0088p3hiIM
It seems likely that The Way of Water will ultimately fly right on by Maverick, but it’ll still have an incredible amount of work to do to catch up to its predecessor in the Avatar franchise. 2009’s Avatar sits at #1 on the all-time box office list just shy of $3B ($2.9B). That film only opened to about half of The Way of Water’ s first weekend haul, but had the benefit of multiple rereleases over the years.
It’s a big year for cinema, even while the box office has been struggling. We’ve seen some massive successes beat expectations, such as Top Gun Maverick taking the cinema by storm. Marvel was building back its pull at the box office with Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Thor: Love and Thunder, and Black Panther: Wakanda Forever. We’ve had indie standouts like Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Whale, The Banshees of Inisherin, and more. DC was even back in style with a creative new take on their iconic Dark Knight in The Batman.
Now, the time has once again arrived for what the future has in store as we enter the awards season. The Oscars has just dropped its shortlisting for those films that may gain a nomination for the 95th Academy Awards. This is not the final nomination list but rather the first breakdown of those projects that have a chance of getting the coveted nomination.
Here’s a quick highlight of some noticeable nominations for this year. Original Score has nominated some big projects like Avatar: The Way of Water, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Devotion, Glass Onion, Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio, Nope, and more. “Hold my Hand” by Top Gun: Maverick and “Lift Me Up” from the Black Panther sequel join the Original Song shortlist among many others.
The superhero and blockbuster genre once again dominates the Visual Effects shortlist, which includes The Batman, Wakanda Forever, and the Doctor Strange sequel, but is also joined by All Quiet on the Western Front, Jurassic World Dominion, Nope, and more. Though it would be hard to imagine the Avatar sequel not winning the category considering James Cameron‘s mastery of the arts over the many years of production.
It’ll be exciting to see how the year turns out, and with the variety of projects currently out there, this might be one of the most exciting Oscars yet. Of course, everyone will have their favorite and feel like one project over the other should’ve won but it’s always great to celebrate the accomplishments of cinema from an indie, blockbuster, or just a movie lovers perspective.
After less than a week in release, Avatar: The Way of Water has already nabbed a huge milestone at the box office. As of Tuesday, the movie has surpassed $500 million at the worldwide box office. However, while an impressive feat, The Way of Water still has a ways to go before it is deemed profitable. (The sequel to 2009’s Avatar is said to have cost around $350 million.) Luckily for The Way of Water, though, it’s expected to continue to dominate the box office in the coming weeks.
It took just five days for Avatar: The Way of Water to reach $500 million worldwide, and it’s thought that the movie will cross $1 billion at the box office before the New Year. It’s of note that, outside of The Way of Water, only seven other films have surpassed $500 million at the box office this year. The movie pulled in $18.3 million domestically and $40.5 million internationally on Tuesday, bringing its collective haul to $555.9 million.
While the film should continue to do decent business at the box office, with the movies never fully recovering from the pandemic, it’s doubtful it’ll achieve the heights of its predecessor. That film, of course, pulled in $760 million domestically and $2.92 billion globally.
Avatar: The Way of Water is now playing in theaters.
After a strong but surprisingly below-expectation opening weekend, Avatar: The Way of Water still made an impressive global $435M opening weekend. It won’t break any records but going by its hold over the weekend, it’ll likely have the legs any other James Cameron film has though just how far it’ll go remains uncertain. Still, the pressure is on as the film must make at least $2 billion to be profitable, at least that is what Cameron has shared in the past.
We never knew exactly just how big the budget was for the film, but it turns out that it’s far more massive than any of us could’ve imagined. Even Avengers: Endgame and its multitude of big-name stars had a production budget of around $300M. The CG-heavily film has a massive budget of $460M according to a new report by Deadline. That’s quite impressive and makes sense given they also filmed the first two sequels back-to-back.
The film’s budget is definitely impressive and there are currently no fears the film will perform incredibly well moving forward. It’s entering the holiday season where the normal day acts like a weekend. Presales factor about 20% for its post-release window and even Marvel averages around 5%. Cameron will likely do what he always does similar to what Top Gun: Maverick accomplished earlier in the year. Now, the only question remains: just how far will it go, and will it inspire Disney to go all in with Cameron‘s plans for the franchise?
After thirteen dormant years, James Cameron‘s epic story has at long last been continued as Avatar: The Way of Water has finally hit theaters. After releasing as the biggest film of all time in 2009, Avatar looked ripe to become the next major Hollywood franchise. However, to the surprise of nearly everyone, director Cameron famously pumped the brakes on the future of his hot new intellectual property to allow for technology to catch up to his grand plans. He didn’t spend the next decade just twiddling his thumbs, though. On top of eventually making The Way of Water, the iconic creative also filmed a second sequel, and outlined a full-blown saga lasting at least five total movies, with the potential for more should the audience demand be there.
While plot details for the remaining films past The Way of Water are sparse, there may be an unexpected source that teases what Cameron has in store. All the way back in 2018, the BBC reported a list of leaked titles they claimed were for the planned Avatar sequels:
Avatar: The Way of Water
Avatar: The Seed Bearer
Avatar: The Tulkun Rider
Avatar: The Quest for Eywa
At the time, fans took the names with an appropriate grain of salt, but it’s easy to see now why that’s no longer the case. The BBC is now 25% correct, which has caused many people to assume the rest of the Avatar title line-up is going to follow suit. In an effort to maintain mystique, executive producer Jon Landau recently stated he and Cameron had already decided on what the sequels will be called, and that online users shouldn’t go by the previously rumored movie names. It’s very possible that the creatives ultimately decided to change the rest of the titles at some point in the development process, but the specificity of the BBC nailing The Way of Water, a fairly non-generic moniker, and referencing a creature from the sequel, the whale-like Tulkun, so many years before it’s release would suggest the other labels were at least correct at some point.
As such, the names may actually lend themselves well to an attempt at deciphering the events set to take place in the next three Avatar projects. Admittedly, combining the remaining titles with the plotlines established in the first two films still only paints a fairly vague picture, but theorizing is almost always fun and it can’t hurt to try. So, Murphy’s Multiverse is going to throw some thoughts at the wall and hope they stick.
Avatar: The Seed Bearer
Weirdly enough, the direct sequel to The Way of Water may be the most difficult to figure out. Unlike the other titles on this list, The Seed Bearer does not reference any specific concept or idea already set in place by the initial films. Luckily, The Way of Water does lay out a few obvious threads for the next movie to pick up on, so one can assume Cameron expands upon those and goes from there.
The end of the second film features Jack Champion‘s human Na’vi appreciator “Spider” rescuing the villainous Recombinant clone of his father, Stephan Lang‘s Colonel Miles Quaritch, from drowning. Given his twisted nature has yet to falter, and the fact he’s confirmed to return in the next sequel, it’s insanely likely that Col. Quaritch once again plays an antagonistic role in Avatar 3. Cameron revealed in 2017 that Lang would act as the baddie of all five written Avatar movies, so don’t expect him to die off in The Seed Bearer either.
It also stands to reason that the children of Sam Worthington‘s Jake Sully and Zoe Saldana‘s Neytiri will continue to play massive roles in the franchise. Each surviving youth seems to possess some sort of important character trait within the world of Pandora. Britain Dalton‘s strong-willed Lo’ak has a natural ability to understand the downtrodden, and is primed to take a leading role following the tragic death of his older brother, while Sigourney Weaver‘s Kiri has a strong, visceral connection to Eywa and the heart of all living things – something Sully is warned could kill her in the middle of The Way of Water before being all but dropped as plot device in the finale. It seems reasonable to say these characters and their development will be a big focus of The Seed Bearer and everything that comes after it.
As for the title and overall plot, it’s still but a loose guess. The Way of Water saw Jake and Neytiri accept the sea-faring Metkayina as their people and new home, but that doesn’t mean the tree-dwelling Omaticaya are never to appear again. The beginning of Avatar 2 revealed much of the Omaticaya’s homeland was destroyed by the return of humans to Pandora, positioning the once-comfortable Na’vi in a fortified, cavernous mountain home as they stay prepared for assaults by their mortal enemies. When the Sully family departed their tribe, Neytiri was notably against leaving her home behind, and only did so out of concern for the safety of her kids. Perhaps The Seed Bearer has Neytiri growing uncomfortable with the Metkayina and her act of abandonment, eventually convincing her husband to travel back into the forest with a plan to save the Omaticaya, defeat the humans, and regrow the Hometree that fell during the events of the first film.
Col. Quaritch would undoubtedly see this as another opportunity to bring down Jake Sully and claim Pandora for Earth, and it’s plausible he uses his undeniable charm to weasel his way back to the front of Earth’s brutal army. The identity of the titular Seed Bearer is hard to pin down, but it could end up being Kiri, whose connection to Eywa and the Tree of Souls might be the key to restoring Pandora to it’s former glory. Especially if she manages to gain access to her unconscious (or deceased) mother’s scientific knowledge of Pandora’s inner workings.
Avatar: The Tulkun Rider
It’s incredibly easy to figure out who this title is referring to. The Way of Water has a major subplot involving the Tulkun, the aforementioned whale-like creatures who form spirit bonds with the Na’vi of the Omaticaya. Specifically, it tells a riveting tale about Lo’ak and his growth into a young warrior, which occurs by way of his bonding with Pandora’s most feared Tulkun – an outcast called Payakan. Following the third act of the second Avatar entry, Lo’ak all but gains the honorary mantle of “Tulkun Rider”, and with his leading franchise role being taken into consideration, there’s a good chance he’s The Tulkun Rider in question.
Yet, this doesn’t explain why the fourth Avatar might be named after him. Fortunately, a little digging gives further hints. In a 2021 conversation with Denis Villeneuve for Variety, Cameron stated that he was forced to film nearly a third of The Tulkun Rider at the same time as The Way of Water and Avatar 3, because he needed the children to stay the same age until a certain point in the movie. He elaborated at the time:
I had to shoot the kids out. They’re allowed to age six years in the middle of the story on page 25 of movie ‘4.’ So I needed everything before then, and then everything after, we’ll do later.
James Cameron
This means that, partway through The Tulkun Rider, there will be a sizable time-jump of around six years. Lo’ak, already a young man in The Way of Water, will probably be allowed to grow into adulthood and find himself after the timeline skip. With the nature of storytelling in mind, there’s a very solid chance The Tulkun Rider revolves around Lo’ak’s ascent to a leadership position within the Na’vi people, and a succession of his father as their most legendary warrior. Potentially, if the third film does go back to the forests of Pandora, he will also be shown as a great unifying force between all of the Na’vi tribes. How the other characters factor into this concept is too difficult to tell, but a betting man would be smart to theorize Lo’ak as the essential lead of Avatar 4.
Avatar: The Quest for Eywa
Another somewhat difficult title to break down, but not entirely impossible. Based on the first two films, viewers know that “Eywa” – also known as the “Great Mother” – is the lifeforce that binds all of Pandora together. She is essentially the Na’vi’s greatest deity, and the power they hold most sacred. Though, if Eywa is something that exists in every living thing around Pandora, how could there possibly be a search for her? If taken at face value, this title sounds as if Lucasfilm titled the next Star Wars project something along the lines of Star Wars: The Search for The Force. A little goofy. Unless, of course, it isn’t.
As mentioned in the theorized plot for Avatar: The Seed Bearer, Sigourney Weaver‘s Kiri has an unusual connection to Eywa and the planet of Pandora at large. She can communicate and direct both flora and fauna at her will, feels the pulse of Eywa at any given moment, and occasionally experiences intense, seizure-inducing visions when bonded with the ecosystem. Her birth is also a bit of a mystery, having occurred after the death of her genetic mother, from an Avatar body, with no known father or signs of pregnancy beforehand. Almost, one might say, a bit Christ-like. When Weaver‘s previous Avatar character, Dr. Grace Augustine, passed, she was connected to both her Avatar and the Tree of Souls. This is quite the pitch, but maybe, somehow, Eywa used this scenario to produce a child that could act as it’s physical embodiment on Pandora.
In theory, Kiri could actually be Eywa. If this is true, then Avatar: The Quest for Eywa may be about the hunt for a missing Kiri, who has been realized as the true savior of her people and an essential part of Pandora’s future. What remains to be asked is this – if Kiri is gone, where did she go? Allow producer Jon Landau to give further insight:
I wasn’t going to talk about it, but I’ve now subsequently heard that Jim has talked about it a little bit. In [‘Avatar 5’] there is a section of the story where we go to Earth. And we go to it to open people’s eyes, open Neytiri’s eyes, to what exists on Earth. Earth is not just represented by the RDA [the franchise’s evil organization known as the Resources Development Administration]. Just like you’re defined by the choices you make in life, not all humans are bad. Not all Na’vi are good. And that’s the case here on Earth. And we want to expose Neytiri to that.
Jon Landau
This quote, taken from a recent Variety interview, might be hiding a lot more than people think. Jake Sully, or any other Avatar character for that matter, doesn’t seem like the type of person to rationally take his native Na’vi wife to Earth as a way of sending a message. It seems as though Neytiri would end up on Earth for a different reason altogether, with Cameron using the experience as a way of progressing her development arc. Neytiri is fierce, and The Way of Watershowed she’d do anything to protect her family. Next theory? Avatar: The Quest for Eywa sees Col. Quaritch and the RDA also coming to understand Kiri’s importance, and abducting her to weaken Pandora and advance their studies on Earth. Neytiri, among others, would then go to Earth to retrieve her daughter and restore Eywa to her homeworld.
Along the way, Neytiri gains an appreciation for the common people of Earth, and her attitude toward the next step in Pandora’s relationship with humans begins to differ. This idea is, like the rest of the thoughts laid out here, not set in stone, but it is the best that Murphy’s Multiverse can come up with based on current information. Only an immense amount of time and money will actually pull back the curtain on the puzzle that is Avatar‘s future, and fans of the franchise are sure to be eagerly awaiting when it happens.
Expectations were high for Avatar: The Way of Water to leave the box office’s 2022 record holder in the dust. Yet, it seems that the film has surprisingly lost some momentum over the weekend and fell short of its initial $175M+ opening weekend. The reports are in and the film stands at $134M domestic opening, which is $60M higher than the previous entry, the 6th highest opening ever for a December release and ties with The Batman earlier this year.
Globally, the film managed to pull in a great $435M and if the film keeps the legs that most of James Cameron‘s films have, it ‘s got a good hold for the coming weeks, especially with how the film has no real competition in the coming weeks. Top Gun Maverick also had a lower opening weekend but managed to pull in $1.5B in its entire run but expectations are also high that Avatar: The Way of Water needs to make at least $2B to even be considered profitable.
It should also be noted that the World Cub’s final game played this weekend alongside a big NFL game, which could also be one of the influencing factors on why the box office isn’t as high as one would’ve initially expected. It’s one thing that is often forgotten when discussing box office numbers, especially information that is lost years later that give a film a massive boost. Marvel Studios’s films have a stronger opening so no one gets spoiled, which isn’t a worry with Avatar: The Way of Water.
Still, it’s surprising to see the film underperform by around $40M considering just how big of a project it is. Avatar had a lot of excitement surrounding it and it falling even lower than the initially low point of $150M might have some scratching their head. The pandemic has made predictions quite difficult and it’s another project that ended up struggling to meet its expectations at the box office this year. Even Marvel Studios’ frontloaded films had some decent holds after a massive second weekend drop, which might be more reflective of current box office developments.
For now, the second weekend will be its big test. Even if it fell short of Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, it’ll need a strong hold to ensure it doesn’t lose momentum. It’s still curious to think that its CinemaScore stands at an A rather than the A+ of Top Gun Maverick, which might hint at its legs being strong but not as strong as they could’ve been. With Marvel movies having decent runs with B scorings, it’s not as simple as it might seem at times.
You might read the title of this article and denounce Avatar: The Way of Water‘s chances at reaching a billion, as the film is now set to only hit the lower end of expectations at around $150M, though it could go as low as $130M depending on how it tracks over the weekend. We’ve seen this countless times throughout 2022 that the predictions aren’t as accurate as they once were and models have been struggling to really pinpoint where the needle is moving in regards to audience interest.
As of now, the film has pulled in $53M domestically with another $127M worldwide. With $180.1M worldwide it’s definitely tracking among the best of the year and with the Holidays around the corner, it’ll leg out quite a bit over the next few weeks without any real competition. It’s international release is also enjoying that additional Chinese box office that many other big blockbusters haven’t had a chance to enjoy but it comes at a time where COVID is running rampant in that country once again.
Also, we can’t forget that three hour runtime and its impact on viewership, especially when you’re going to invest time to sit there that long in a 3D film. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever was also on the longer side which affected its box office run early on with less showtimes. Either way, the film has definitely going to pass or even double 2009’s $77M domestic opening but the question remains if it’ll have the legs it needs. It’s opening around the same as Top Gun: Maverick which ended up legging out to an impressive $1.49B. Though, the film might need to do quite a bit more to prove successful given its massive budget.
The ratings are in and it looks like the general audience have quite enjoyed their time with the latest Avatar entry, Avatar: The Way of Water. The official CinemaScore has arrived and it’s another A for James Cameron, the same rating the original had back in 2009. In retrospect that is actually quite surprising that it didn’t have an A+ at the time given just how incredible its legs are, but that might just be the Cameron effect.
The CinemaScore is mainly there to highlight how much general audiences are enjoying the latest film. 2022 has been quite rough and critical with many long-time franchises and films landing in the B to B+ territory throughout the year. Marvel Studios was sticking around the B+ score until the release of Black Panther: Wakanda Forever with an A. Though, interestingly enough these films still had some crazy legs at the box office even with lower scores. 2022 generally has been struggling, as we’re still feeling the effects of the pandemic and a general exhaustion after being locked at home for multiple years.
Still, Avatar: The Way of Water is not set to break any domestic records but could make quite the pull internationally with it possibly passing $500M+ worldwide. If it plays like the last two films by the director, it would have a good chance to make it towards a $2B+ box office run, as it also has barely to no competition in the coming weeks. Spider-Man: No WayHome‘s December release was record-breaking last year and the spot might get more and more popular if it keeps up this trend.
Not a person in the world would’ve denied that the release of Avatar: The Way of Water would draw in an audience, but the question was always just how big the film might go. It could follow the Marvel box office formula with a massive opening but not have the same legs as its original. The film was set to make up to $170M according to analysts, and it does seem like it’s still on track towards at least $150M with it having pulled in a strong $17M in early previews.
It would put it on pace to become one of the highest opening films of the year, but will likely not dehtrone either dominating Marvel Studios’ productions that pulled in over $180M. Though, early critical reception is very positive and could give it a much bigger boost than anyone might be expecting at this point. Still, the $17M are lower than Jurassic World: Dominion that opened to $18M and with an international push managed to get past a billion. The original had some massive legs and projections also have it making upwards of $350M in its Chinese run, something Marvel hasn’t had the privilege to in a while.
$17M THU pre-show debut for #AvatarTheWayofWater. That's close to $18M for #JurassicWorld Dominion from JUN which led to $145M opening wknd #boxoffice. High 61% of #Avatar biz is from 3D/premium scrns (29% traditional 3D, 15% IMAX 3D, 14% PLF 3D, 3% Motion 3D).
The film has opened in 44 international markets and pulled in $50.4M excluding China, where it pulled in $18.5M. With a $100M opening in China it does have a chance to potentially dehtrone Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness as the highest opening film of the year. Word-of-mouth might be what pushes this film forward even if it’s unclear just how far the film might go. The Way of Water only has the caveat that it needs to make a lot of money to end up profitable for James Cameron‘s vision of multiple films to come true.
It looks like James Cameron already on a roll, as the day one estimates are already at $15.8M in specific international markets, which includes France, Germany, Italy, and Korea. It’s looking quite strong, even at 99% in some markets and it’s 124% ahead of the original Avatar and even 13% higher than Jurassic World: Dominion. It’s Chinese release isn’t as strong as hoped due to COVID issues in the market. It’s made an additional $5.41M over Wednesday and Thursday.
Korea has also pulled in $2.6M additionally on Thursday with the Wednesday release being the market’s second highest opening day for the month ever. To no surprise, Avatar: The Way of Water has pulled in thee top spot in all markets with barley any competition out there to slow it down. Estimates surrounding China are quite shy with the markets uncertainty but it’ll still give the film a decent boost for its release.
Will the film be as record breaking as everyone believes it’ll be? Most still truly believe that the film has a good chance to break records, 2022 has been a rough year for the bo xoffice. Besides a lack of releases and the market building any momentum, there’s the potential that this film could have the same legs that Spider-Man: No Way Home had with no real competition after its release this week. Still, it’s uncertain if it’ll have the same legs that pushed its original release after Top Gun: Maverick already dominated this year.
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